Following up with thoughts from the previous post, that the electoral tendencies of moderates are defined in large part by the political atmospheres of the states they live in doesn't necessarily mean the same holds true for their more ideologically committed cohorts. Conservatives are sparse in California, but the state still produces hard-liners like Tom McClintock and Brian Bilbray.
The following table ranks states by the percentages of their liberals who voted for Obama in the 2008 presidential election. The states are colored according to their contemporary political profiles, with purple states representing those in which Obama's total vote share ranged between 46%-54%. Due to insufficient sample size, Utah is excluded:
The correlation between how a state voted and how its liberals voted is .79 (p = 0)--not quite as robust as for moderates, but still very strong for a measure like this. It's not just that blue states have relatively more liberals and fewer conservatives than red states do--blue state liberals also tend to be more liberal than red state liberals tend to be. Conversely, as the next table shows, red state conservatives are both more conservative and relatively more numerous than blue state conservatives are. Due to insufficient sample size, DC is excluded:
The correlation between how a state voted and how its conservatives voted is .81 (p = 0), almost identical to the liberal correlation and modestly weaker than the moderate one.
Parenthetically, the contemporary liberal/moderate/conservative trichotomy lacks nuance and is necessarily both historically and geographically disconnected. I get that. However, it has become part of the both the vernacular and the media lexicon in the US, and it works pretty well as a general framework for understanding and describing the political landscape of the country in a uncomplicated way. It satisfices.
The following table ranks states by the percentages of their liberals who voted for Obama in the 2008 presidential election. The states are colored according to their contemporary political profiles, with purple states representing those in which Obama's total vote share ranged between 46%-54%. Due to insufficient sample size, Utah is excluded:
State | Obama % |
1. District of Columbia | 98 |
2. Delaware | 95 |
3. Vermont | 94 |
3. Oregon | 94 |
5. Colorado | 93 |
5. Washington | 93 |
7. Illinois | 92 |
7. New Mexico | 92 |
7. New York | 92 |
7. Minnesota | 92 |
11. Hawaii | 91 |
11. Maryland | 91 |
11. California | 91 |
11. Florida | 91 |
11. Wisconsin | 91 |
11. Pennsylvania | 91 |
11. New Hampshire | 91 |
18. Massachusetts | 90 |
18. Connecticut | 90 |
18 Virginia | 90 |
18. Montana | 90 |
22. Rhode Island | 89 |
22. Iowa | 89 |
24. Michigan | 88 |
25. Nevada | 87 |
25. New Jersey | 87 |
25. Indiana | 87 |
25. North Carolina | 87 |
29. Maine | 86 |
29. Texas | 86 |
29. Missouri | 86 |
32. Georgia | 85 |
33. Tennessee | 84 |
33. South Carolina | 84 |
35. Ohio | 83 |
35. Kansas | 83 |
37. Idaho | 82 |
38. North Dakota | 81 |
38. Alaska | 81 |
38. Oklahoma | 81 |
41. South Dakota | 80 |
42. Nebraska | 78 |
43. Mississippi | 77 |
43. Louisiana | 77 |
43. Alabama | 77 |
43. Wyoming | 77 |
47. Arkansas | 76 |
48. Arizona | 75 |
49. Kentucky | 74 |
50. West Virginia | 71 |
The correlation between how a state voted and how its liberals voted is .79 (p = 0)--not quite as robust as for moderates, but still very strong for a measure like this. It's not just that blue states have relatively more liberals and fewer conservatives than red states do--blue state liberals also tend to be more liberal than red state liberals tend to be. Conversely, as the next table shows, red state conservatives are both more conservative and relatively more numerous than blue state conservatives are. Due to insufficient sample size, DC is excluded:
State | Obama % |
1. Hawaii | 41 |
2. Vermont | 33 |
3. Illinois | 29 |
3. New Mexico | 29 |
5. Massachusetts | 28 |
6. Connecticut | 27 |
7. Delaware | 25 |
8. Maryland | 24 |
9. California | 23 |
9. Rhode Island | 23 |
9. Maine | 23 |
12. Michigan | 22 |
12. Ohio | 22 |
12. Mississippi | 22 |
15. Florida | 21 |
15. Iowa | 21 |
15. Nevada | 21 |
15. New Jersey | 21 |
15. Texas | 21 |
15. Georgia | 21 |
21. Wisconsin | 20 |
22. Pennsylvania | 19 |
23. Colorado | 18 |
23. New York | 18 |
23. Virginia | 18 |
23. Louisiana | 18 |
27. New Hampshire | 17 |
27. Tennessee | 17 |
27. South Dakota | 17 |
27. Arizona | 17 |
31. Washington | 16 |
31. Indiana | 16 |
31. Missouri | 16 |
31. Alabama | 16 |
31. Arkansas | 16 |
36. Oregon | 15 |
36. Minnesota | 15 |
36. North Carolina | 15 |
36. North Dakota | 15 |
36. Kentucky | 15 |
36. West Virginia | 15 |
42. South Carolina | 14 |
43. Nebraska | 13 |
44. Alaska | 12 |
45. Kansas | 11 |
46. Montana | 10 |
47. Oklahoma | 9 |
48. Utah | 9 |
49. Wyoming | 8 |
50. Idaho | 6 |
The correlation between how a state voted and how its conservatives voted is .81 (p = 0), almost identical to the liberal correlation and modestly weaker than the moderate one.
Parenthetically, the contemporary liberal/moderate/conservative trichotomy lacks nuance and is necessarily both historically and geographically disconnected. I get that. However, it has become part of the both the vernacular and the media lexicon in the US, and it works pretty well as a general framework for understanding and describing the political landscape of the country in a uncomplicated way. It satisfices.